Week 8 Fantasy Preview

Posted: October 29, 2010 in Uncategorized
Peyton Manning

Manning's Colts need to show the Texans who's boss on Monday Night. (action-news.org)

Which Games Will Be On in My Area? Who Will Call Them?

Click here for this week’s Distribution Map: http://the506.com/sports/?cat=14

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LAST WEEK’S PREDICTIONS: 9-5

2010 SEASON PREDICTIONS: 33-25 (56.9%)

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BUFFALO BILLS (0-6) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (4-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: KC (-7.5)

Definitely Start: Fred Jackson, Steve Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Thomas Jones

Maybe Start: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Lee Evans, Dwayne Bowe

Don’t Start: Roscoe Parrish, Tony Moeaki, Matt Cassel

Analysis: Kansas City remains to be one of the nicest surprise teams in this 2010 season. The Chiefs on offense lead the NFL in rushing yardage. This week they face a team who has a better chance stopping a runaway train than a solid rushing attack in the Bills. Charles and Jones will both have huge potential in this game with each expected to get lots of carries. Cassel can stretch the field with Bowe and Moeaki, but I think the Chiefs will be so committed to the run that KC will only pass in long yardage situations. If you have Fitzpatrick or any of his receivers, feel good about playing them. There’s a very good chance Buffalo will have to air it out soon in this one.

Prediction: Kansas City 28, Buffalo 14.

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-4) @ DALLAS COWBOYS (1-5) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: DAL (-6.5)

Definitely Start: Maurice Jones-Drew, Mike Sims-Walker, Felix Jones, Miles Austin, Jason Witten

Maybe Start: Marcedes Lewis, Jon Kitna, Roy Williams, Dez Bryant

Don’t Start: David Garrard, Mike Thomas, Marion Barber

Analysis: If you picked up Kitna this week from the waiver wire, I would recommend starting him if you have no better matchups. Usually everyone will recommend sitting a QB who is just now getting all the first string reps, but the Jaguars defense is just God awful. The Cowboys transition from Barber to Jones in the backfield continues to progress, so play Jones if you have him. From the road team’s perspective, it’s all MJD for the Jags offense while Garrard recovers from a concussion. Lewis can still get red zone targets, so he may get in for a score before it’s all said and done – especially if Jacksonville is forced to play keep up.

Prediction: Dallas 26, Jacksonville 17.

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CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-5) @ ST. LOUIS RAMS (3-4) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: STL (-3)

Definitely Start: Jonathan Stewart, Steve Smith, Steven Jackson

Maybe Start: Sam Bradford, Danny Amendola

Don’t Start: DeAngelo Williams (DOUBT), Matt Moore, Danario Alexander

Analysis: Bradford is coming off a poor performance last week in which he threw for just 126 yards. The Panthers are an alright defense, so St. Louis may run Jackson wild like they did last week against Tampa. There’s definite risk in starting any of the STL receivers, so only precede if you’re in a pickle caused by a bye week situation. Williams for the Panthers is listed as doubtful, which means Stewart owners need to start him. Moore is under center for Carolina again. Steve Smith always has big play potential, so roll with him as he is well due for a solid game.

Prediction: St. Louis 20, Carolina 10.

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WASHINGTON REDSKINS (4-3) @ DETROIT LIONS (1-5) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: DET (-2.5)

Definitely Start: Donovan McNabb, Ryan Torain, Santana Moss, Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson, Jahvid Best

Maybe Start: Anthony Armstrong, Chris Cooley, Brandon Pettigrew

Don’t Start: Tony Scheffler

Analysis: Stafford returns to the field since week 1’s loss at Chicago. There’s always the fear of rust, but Washington certainly is vulnerable to the pass. There are some good QB’s on byes this week, so I would let Stafford start if you have a vacancy at that position. Calvin Johnson may be the only Lion to benefit as a certainty. The Redskins also face a crap defense in Detroit. McNabb and Moss are must starts. Torain is an absolute start as well, coming off another 100 yard game. If the Redskins get up early, they will turn to Torain to kill clock ASAP.

Prediction: Washington 19, Detroit 17.

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MIAMI DOLPHINS (3-3) @ CINCINNATI BENGALS (2-4) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: CIN (-2)

Definitely Start: Ronnie Brown, Brandon Marshall, Cedric Benson, Terrell Owens

Maybe Start: Ricky Williams, Chad Henne, Davone Bess, Carson Palmer, Chad Ochocinco

Don’t Start: Anthony Fasano, Jermaine Gresham

Analysis: Last week, Cincinnati lost their safety Joseph and corner “Pacman” Jones. Marshall for the Fins may be able to exploit both absences with huge game potential. Miami would like to get back to running early and often. Williams and Brown could combine for a nice day. But the million dollar question is – who gets more of the carries? The Bengals have been hot or cold this year on offense. They were down early in Atlanta in week 7 but were able to air it out and make the game a single score affair late in the contest. Owens seems to have surpassed Ochocinco on Palmer’s preference chart. Benson faces a good front four, but it’s not an impossible Dolphins defense.

Prediction: Cincinnati 23, Miami 13.

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DENVER BRONCOS (2-5) @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-6) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: SF (-1)

Definitely Start: Kyle Orton, Brandon Lloyd, Jabar Gaffney, Frank Gore

Maybe Start: Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Royal, Vernon Davis

Don’t Start: Alex Smith (OUT), Troy Smith, Michael Crabtree

Analysis: San Fran fans always give their team grief for failing to win on the East Coast, especially when they’re noon games. How about adding another few time zones to that early contest? Denver and San Fran meet this week at Wimbley Stadium in London, England. And who better to showcase the beautiful game of the National Football League than a 2-5 Broncos team playing a 1-6 Niners squad. And on top of that, Troy Smith gets the start for San Francisco with Alex Smith being hurt for 2-3 weeks. There aren’t many great fantasy matchups in this game, other than Frank Gore who should have another great day at the office.

Prediction: San Francisco 24, Denver 21.

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GREEN BAY PACKERS (4-3) @ NEW YORK JETS (5-1) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: NYJ (-6)

Definitely Start: Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Dustin Keller, LaDainian Tomlinson, Braylon Edwards

Maybe Start: Brandon Jackson, James Jones, Mark Sanchez

Don’t Start: Santonio Holmes, Shonn Green

Analysis: There aren’t many things more frightening than playing against the Jets defense, on the road, on Halloween. But for Rodger’s Packers, they might just be up for the task after terminating Favre and the Vikings last week. Ultimately, I think this game comes down to who can run the ball more effectively. Jackson has been mediocre at best for Green Bay, while Tomlinson is playing like he did years ago in San Diego. This is a huge confidence game for Green Bay. If they can defeat one of the best teams in the AFC, they can establish themselves as the team to beat in the sub-par NFC. While in contrast, the Jets can further show how much more dominant the AFC is over the NFC.

Prediction: New York 27, Green Bay 16.

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TENNESSEE TITANS (5-2) @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-5) – 3:05pm, CBS

Favorite: SD (-3.5)

Definitely Start: Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Philip Rivers, Antonio Gates, Patrick Crayton

Maybe Start: Ryan Mathews, Legedu Naanee

Don’t Start: Vince Young, Mike Tolbert, Malcom Floyd

Analysis: It is a belief of mine that you play a hot hand until it cools off. No one on planet Earth has been able to bring down Britt is weeks past, so what makes you think San Diego can? Johnson should be able to take control of this game and run the clock for the Titans. Young will try and go Sunday, but I can’t think of starting him over a guy like Fitzpatrick, who’s available on almost all waiver wires. The Chargers limp into this game after blowing a golden, no wait – platinum chance to steal a game from New England last week. Rivers will continue to throw until his arm falls off or the Chargers establish a running game, whichever comes first. Gates even with an injury still found a way to get involved in the Bolts offense last week. Floyd may be a no-show for San Diego, so consider Patrick Crayton to step up and play well in his place.

Prediction: San Diego 18, Tennessee 17.

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-2) @ ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-3) – 3:15pm, FOX

Favorite: ARZ (-3)

Definitely Start: Kellen Winslow, Beanie Wells

Maybe Start: LeGarrette Blount, Mike Williams, Larry Fitzgerald

Don’t Start: Josh Freeman, Cadillac Williams, Max Hall, Tim Hightower, Steve Breaston

Analysis: Statistically, Tampa is one of the best in the NFC based on records. Sadly, the NFC has no elite teams, so someone has to hold that title regardless of how pitiful their strength of schedule is. Tampa Bay has allowed 100+ yards for the last 2 weeks, so maybe Wells can do the same. Hall still presents issues to Fitzgerald/Breaston owners. With the way the Bucs allow rushing yards, I have a feeling that will be 60-70% of their play selection. The Bucs don’t feature many fantasy studs. Blount will get more carries this week than Williams, so Caddy owners should put him where he belongs – on cinder blocks.

Prediction: Arizona 24, Tampa Bay 20.

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS (2-4) @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (5-1) – 3:15pm, FOX

Favorite: NE (-6.5)

Definitely Start: Adrian Peterson, Randy Moss, Tom Brady, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Aaron Hernandez

Maybe Start: Percy Harvin, Wes Welker, Deion Branch

Don’t Start: Brett Favre, Visanthe Shiancoe, Danny Woodhead

Analysis: Things are looking pretty dim for the Purple People Eaters. They are definitely in a state of desperation, needing this game more than New England does. Favre’s very popular ankle may keep him out of the game, or limit his mobility. The questionable passing game is why I think Peterson will get 25-30 carries and plenty of chances to score. Moss wants to make a big comeback in New England, so his extra incentives may prove to be beneficial. For the New England offense, I like Brady to dissect the Vikings weak secondary with long pass plays to his new favorite targets, Hernandez and Branch. The “law firm” of BGE is good for a touchdown every week, so this should be no different.

Prediction: New England 21, Minnesota 13.

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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (4-2) @ OAKLAND RAIDERS (3-4) – 3:15pm, FOX

Favorite: OAK (-2.5)

Definitely Start: Marshawn Lynch, Darren McFadden, Zach Miller

Maybe Start: Mike Williams, Michael Bush

Don’t Start: Matt Hasselbeck, Deion Butler, Jason Campbell, Darrius Heyward-Bey

Analysis: I can’t trust Hasselbeck on the road in the Black Hole. The way the Raiders ran the ball last week makes me think they will do the exact thing again on a pretty reliable Seahawk defense. Don’t expect anything spectacular from Campbell or any of his receivers. This will be a downhill running game. Williams will be on Nnamdi Asomugha island, so he may see few completions. Again, this will be McFadden vs. Lynch for who can score the most touchdowns.

Prediction: Oakland 19, Seattle 13.

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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (5-1) @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-3) – 7:20pm, NBC

Favorite: NO (-1)

Definitely Start: Ben Roethlisberger, Rashard Mendenhall, Hines Ward, Drew Brees, Marques Colston

Maybe Start: Mike Wallace, Heath Miller, Chris Ivory, Lance Moore, Robert Meachem

Don’t Start: Antwaan Randle El, Jeremy Shockey, Devery Henderson, Pierre Thomas (OUT)

Analysis: Roethlisberger silenced critics who thought he might have been “rusty” when he debuted against Cleveland two weeks ago. Last week he proved it. While he adds the vertical aspect to the Steelers offense, he in essence opens up the run game for Mendenhall. Miller should see pay dirt Sunday – the Saints are in the bottom third of the NFL allowing fantasy points to tight ends. The Saints are becoming tricky to predict at receiver and their running backs can be hard to foresee as well. The Saints may be forced to air out the ball because Pittsburgh is excellent at loading up the box against the run. Other than Brees, any Saint can be realistically considered a gamble.

Prediction: New Orleans 35, Pittsburgh 23.

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HOUSTON TEXANS (4-2) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-2) – 7:30pm Monday, ESPN

Favorite: IND (-5.5)

Definitely Start: Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson, Arian Foster, Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Pierre Garcon

Maybe Start: Derrick Ward, Donald Brown, Anthony Gonzalez, Kevin Walter, Owen Daniels

Don’t Start: Joseph Addai, Mike Harts, Steve Slaton

Analysis: Think the Colts have forgotten about the smack down Houston laid on them in week 1?  This game will be crucial for the Colts to re-establish themselves as the team to beat in the very talented AFC South. Addai’s injury spells trouble for his owners. Drown and Hart could see some 50/50 or 60/40 split in carries respectively. Wayne and Garcon could have big weeks with Dallas Clark going on IR. In deeper PPR leagues, Gonzalez could be a sensible option. We all know the Texans will force Foster on the Colts defense, but Indy should be more prepared to take away his running lanes. I think this game will be an entertaining shoot out, as most Colts-Texans games are. MNF picks another gem to broadcast.

Prediction: Indianapolis 38, Houston 30.

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