Week 7 Fantasy Preview

Posted: October 24, 2010 in Uncategorized
Ray Rice

Ray Rice owners can rest easy Sunday. Imagine Rice doing this very move, just to a Buffalo Bill. And many times. (wnst.net)

Which Games Will Be On in My Area? Who Will Call Them?

Click here for this week’s Distribution Map: http://the506.com/sports/?cat=14

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LAST WEEK’S PREDICTIONS: N/A

2010 SEASON PREDICTIONS: 24-20

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CINCINNATI  BENGALS (2-3) @ ATLANTA FALCONS (4-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: ATL (-3.5)

Definitely Start: Cedric Benson, Terrell Owens, Chad Ochocinco, Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Roddy White

Maybe Start: Tony Gonzalez

Don’t Start: Carson Palmer, Jason Snelling

Analysis: Coming off a big beat down from the Eagles, Atlanta looks to rebound against a hit or miss Bengals team. The Dirty Birds will be without Dunta Robinson, so the Cincy receivers should be open most of the time. Definitely start either half of the T.Ocho combination. For Atlanta, they continue to produce with their stars on offense. Yield caution with Tony G. – he had 2 scores last week, so the Bengals might pay extra attention to him in the red zone.

Prediction: Atlanta 23, Cincinnati 17.

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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (4-1) @ MIAMI DOLPHINS (3-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: PIT (-3)

Definitely Start: Ben Roethlisberger, Rashard Mendenhall, Hines Ward, Ronnie Brown

Maybe Start: Mike Wallace, Brandon Marshall, Davone Bess, Ricky Williams

Don’t Start: Heath Miller

Analysis: I love the return of (to be politically correct) “larger than standard” Benjamin Roethlisberger for the Steelers. He opens up the offense so much. It takes so much pressure off of Mendenhall. Miami has been the beneficiary of a lot of bad passes in 2010 resulting in interceptions. I do not see Roethlisberger making those same mistakes. Only worry about the Dolphins running backs fantasy wise for a few reasons. One, they split carries nearly 50/50 now. Two, they’re going against the league’s best defense. Miami passing game, yes. Running game, no.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 21, Miami 14.

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BUFFALO BILLS (0-5) @ BALTIMORE RAVENS (4-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: BAL (-13)

Definitely Start: Ray Rice, Anquan Boldin, Derrick Mason

Maybe Start: Joe Flacco, Fred Jackson

Don’t Start: Todd Heap, Lee Evans, Ryan Fitzpatrick

Analysis: He’s back! Ed Reed is schedules to come off the PUP list this week and what a feast he gets to dine on – Ryan Fitzpatrick’s “bombs.” Baltimore is going to have a field day on defense. Ray Rice may be the fantasy stud of the week. Baltimore will be running the clock starting in the 2nd quarter. This will not be a pretty game what so ever. Buffalo has yet to win for a reason. Love me some Ravens.

Prediction: Baltimore 33, Buffalo 13.

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-3) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: KC (-6)

Definitely Start: Matt Cassel, Jamaal Charles, Dwayne Bowe, Maurice Jones-Drew, Mike Thomas

Maybe Start: Thomas Jones, Marcedes Lewis

Don’t Start: Tony Moeaki, Mike Sims-Walker

Analysis: Last Monday night, the Jags did a fairly decent job handling Chris Johnson until garbage time. This week they get Jamal Charles, and I don’t see the same results twice in a row. Jacksonville may go to a 3rd string QB they signed this week if Garrard’s concussion and Edward’s hand keep the first two quarterbacks on the sideline. I don’t like either, anyway. The Chiefs are certainly becoming relevant in the AFC West, I just don’t know they’ve had the moment yet where I can say “I believe in KC.” Maybe it’s this week.

Prediction: Kansas City 20, Jacksonville 16.

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CLEVELAND BROWNS (1-5) @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: NO (-13)

Definitely Start: Drew Brees, Chris Ivory, Marques Colston, Peyton Hillis

Maybe Start: Lance Moore, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem

Don’t Start: Jeremy Shockey, Colt McCoy

Analysis: This will follow Buffalo-Baltimore as the most unattractive game of the week. Obviously the Saints are going to score, but who’s going to get the looks? Ivory will go again without Thomas, so play him against a lackluster front 7. I think Brees reconnects with old time friend Colston this week. Play any of the other 3 receivers (Moore, Henderson, Meachem) at will if you need WR help with bye weeks. I only like Hillis because with McCoy under center, Hillis should get a large number of carries.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Cleveland 10.

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WASHINGTON REDSKINS (3-3) @ CHICAGO BEARS (4-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: CHI (-3)

Definitely Start: Matt Forte, Johnny Knox, Donovan McNabb, Ryan Torain, Santana Moss

Maybe Start: Jay Cutler, Greg Olsen, Anthony Armstrong

Don’t Start: Devin Hester, Earl Bennett, Chris Cooley

Analysis: This will prove to be an interesting matchup in week 7. I love what Torain is doing basically coming out of nowhere for Clinton Portis. I’m one to play a hot hand, so roll with him. McNabb may find success like Hasselbeck did last week against the Bears secondary. I would advise giving him and his top two (Moss, Armstrong) a shot. Cutler is an okay start, but Washington may do what the rest of the league has done in putting him on his tush. Forte should be alright, and Knox can always break one.

Prediction: Washington 26, Chicago 17.

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-5) @ CAROLINA PANTHERS (0-5) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: SF (-3)

Definitely Start: Frank Gore, Vernon Davis, Steve Smith

Maybe Start: Michael Crabtree, DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart

Don’t Start: Alex Smith, Matt Moore

Analysis: Yuck. What else can I say about the game in Charlotte this Sunday? San Fran’s owner came out saying he still thinks his team will win the division at 0-5, and then they go out and win a game against Oakland. The trend continues this week. Nothing out of the usual with who to play. I am officially demoting Williams to a “Maybe Start” because of Clausen/Moore lacking productivity. Steve Smith returns. Go ahead and roll with him – he’s going to be dying for looks.

Prediction: San Francisco 18, Carolina 10.

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ST. LOUIS RAMS (3-3) @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (3-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: TB (-3)

Definitely Start: Cadillac Williams, Mike Wiliams, sTeven Jackson

Maybe Start: Kellen Winslow, Danario Alexander, Sam Bradford

Don’t Start: Josh Freeman, Danny Amendola

Analysis: The Rams last week were able to shut down Philip Rivers. Not by playing stellar lock down secondary defense, but by knocking him down. Freeman may be a sitting duck this week. The Rams are a bunch of no names that seem to get sacks. Alexander made his NFL debut last week and did fairly well. I’m taking the wait and see approach with him, but if you are absolutely binded, try him.

Prediction: St. Louis 22, Tampa Bay 14.

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (4-2) @ TENNESSEE TITANS (4-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: TEN (-3)

Definitely Start: Chris Johnson, Jeremy Maclin, LeSean McCoy

Maybe Start: Kenny Britt, Kevin Kolb, Brent Celek

Don’t Start: DeSean Jackson, Michael Vick

Analysis: Highly anticipated game in my mind. Kolb will be running the offense without Vick and now DJax. Maclin owners should be thrilled. Ultimately, I think Chris Johnson does work this week and puts this one out of reach. The Titans will be using Kerry Collins as VY is still in the air. I love the ground game, but I wouldn’t rely too heavily on the passing attack. Hard game to predict, but should be entertaining.

Prediction: Tennessee 27, Philadelphia 17.

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ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-2) @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (3-2) – 3:05pm, FOX

Favorite: SEA (-6)

Definitely Start: Marshawn Lynch, Mike Williams, Beanie Wells, Larry Fitzgerald

Maybe Start: Deon Butler, Steve Breaston

Don’t Start: John Carlson, Tim Hightower

Analysis: Hard to believe that this week 7 game will determine the NFC West leader. Matt Hasselbeck looked very sharp against the Bears last week, connecting with former first round bust Mike Williams of the Lions. I think he’s a solid receiver to roll with if youre bitten by the Braylon Edwards-Reggie Wayne-Andre Johnson bye week bug. For the Cards, it seems Wells will be THE guy, which is bad news for the owners of Tim Hightower. Max Hall was “ehhh” with the Saints game 2 weeks ago. Breaston and Fitz are alright options to roll with at receiver.

Prediction: Seattle 19, Arizona 13.

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (4-1) @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-4) – 3:15pm, CBS

Favorite: SD (-3)

Definitely Start: Tom Brady, Deion Branch, Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez, Philip Rivers, Patrick Crayton, Ryan Mathews

Maybe Start: BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Danny Woodhead, Antonio Gates (QUES), Mike Tolbert

Don’t Start: Legedu Naanee, Malcom Floyd (OUT), Brandon Tate

Analysis: It’s do-or-die week for Ryan Mathews. He and Tolbert have caused many headaches for their respective fantasy owners. Mathews gets the yards, Tolbert gets the single digit yard touchdown runs. There are many injuries this week at receiver for the Bolts – Gates, Floyd, and Naanee. Crayton could get some looks, but San Diego may elect to run the ball on an aging Pats defense. Speaking of New England, I think this game matches up well for Brady, Hernandez, Welker, and Branch. The Chargers are decent against the run, so I see New England throwing 2:1 against the run. Should be a great game.

Prediction: New England 24, San Diego 14.

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OAKLAND RAIDERS (2-4) @ DENVER BRONCOS (2-4) – 3:15pm, CBS

Favorite: DEN (-8)

Definitely Start: Zach Miller, Kyle Orton, Jabar Gaffney, Brandon Lloyd

Maybe Start: Michael Bush, Louis Murphy, Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Royal

Don’t Start: Darren McFadden, Jason Campbell, Demaryius Thomas

Analysis: Oakland will see the return of McFadden, so expect Bush and McFadden to split the carries. Don’t play either unless you absolutely have to as the workload may not predictable. Campbell returns as the Raider QB, but I still don’t love his receivers except for Miller. Denver likewise gets to play their starting running back Moreno for the first time in almost a month. Until the backfield gets sorted out or we see how healthy Moreno really is, I foresee nothing new for the aerial attacking Bronco offense. This game will basically knock somebody out of the AFC West, while the winner may be right in the thick of the race.

Prediction: Denver 30, Oakland 13.

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS (2-3) @ GREEN BAY PACKERS (3-3) – 7:20pm, NBC

Favorite: GB (-2.5)

Definitely Start: Brett Favre, Adrian Peterson, Randy Moss, Aaron Rodgers, Donald Driver, Greg Jennings

Maybe Start: Visanthe Shiancoe, Percy Harvin, Jordy Nelson

Don’t Start: Brandon Jackson, Greg Lewis, James Jones

Analysis: I’m not going to bore you with more blabbing of how well Favre did last year against his former team. Just know this – Favre will be ready to play. With all that is going on in his non-dramatic life (sarcasm), his number one goal has to be to beat the Pack at Lambeau. Randy Moss has had a TD grab in his last six games against Green Bay, so feel good rolling the dice with him. Shiancoe and Harvin could be interesting plays against a depleted Green Bay defense. The loss of Jermichael Finley definitely hurts the Green Bay offense, but does open the door for fantasy owners to make progress with players like Jennings, Jones, and Nelson. Don’t expect to see a lot of Packer rushing attempts – they may be forced to throw, throw, throw.

Prediction: Minnesota 27, Green Bay 23.

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NEW YORK GIANTS (4-2) @ DALLAS COWBOYS (1-4) – 7:30pm, ESPN

Favorite: DAL (-3)

Definitely Start: Eli Manning, Ahmad Bradshaw, Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, Tony Romo, Felix Jones, Miles Austin, Roy Williams

Maybe Start: Brandon Jacobs, Mario Manningham, Jason Witten

Don’t Start: Kevin Boss, Marion Barber, Dez Bryant

Analysis: Before I break this game down, I need to vent quickly. How is a miserable Dallas team favored by any number of points in this game? Moving on, you can obviously tell my favorite team in this MNF matchup. Manning, Bradshaw, and Smith (a true Cowboy killer last year) are all great bets to go off this Monday. I even feel Nicks and Manningham are fine plays as well. Despite their crap record, the Cowboys are a very talented fantasy team. Romo has done well as far as statistics go. We are witnessing the transition from Barber to Jones at the lead Cowboy rusher, so take the sure bet when choosing either. Miles Austin is the 2010 definition of a hit or miss player. He is due for a hit, so bat him high in priority. Roy Williams isn’t a bad play either. Caution on Bryant – injuries may make this kid appear as fragile as wet paper. The Cowboys have to win sometime, I’m just not sure that time is now.

Prediction: Giants 31, Cowboys 21.

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