Week 5 Fantasy Preview

Posted: October 9, 2010 in Uncategorized

MJD, the "Human Bowling Ball," looks to bowl a strike against Buffalo.

Which Games Will Be On in My Area? Who Will Call Them?

Click here for Week 4 Distribution Map: http://the506.com/sports/?cat=14

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LAST WEEK’S PREDICTIONS: 8-6

 2010 SEASON PREDICTIONS: 18-12

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-2) @ BUFFALO BILLS (0-4) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: BUF (-1)

Definitely Start: RB Fred Jackson, RB Maurice Jones-Drew

Maybe Start: RB C.J. Spiller, QB David Garrard, TE Marcedes Lewis

Don’t Start: WR Mike Sims-Walker

Prediction: Alright Bills fans, it’s time to admit it – your team is pathetic. After watching the Jets run the ball like it was nobody’s business last week with 2 different running backs, all eyes are on MJD to replicate those numbers all by himself. He should have little trouble achieving tremendous numbers, helping his Jaguars top Buffalo 20-10.

NEW YORK GIANTS (2-2) @ HOUSTON TEXANS (3-1) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: HOU (-3)

Definitely Start: QB Matt Schaub, RB Arian Foster, WR Kevin Walter, QB Eli Manning, RB Ahmad Bradshaw, WR Hakeem Nicks

Maybe Start: WR Andre Johnson (GTD), WR Steve Smith, RB Brandon Jacobs

Don’t Start: TE Owen Daniels, TE Kevin Boss

Prediction: The Texans defense has been either hit or miss in 2010, but overall they have taken away the pass while allowing big plays on the ground. Bradshaw is going to play Sunday and should receive the majority of the Giants carries. Don’t play the deep Giants receivers like Manningham or Smith unless you’re facing bye week issues. Houston is going to have Andre Johnson on the field, but his production is a bit unsure. Play him anyway and hope for the best. Foster will carry the Texans to victory, 30-24.

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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3-0) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (2-2) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: IND (-7)

Definitely Start: QB Peyton Manning, WR Reggie Wayne, TE Dallas Clark, RB Thomas Jones, RB Jamaal Charles

Maybe Start: RB Joseph Addai, WR Pierre Garcon, QB Matt Cassel, WR Dwayne Bowe

Don’t Start: WR Austin Collie (GTD)

Prediction: For years, the Colts’ inability to run the ball has been their Achilles tendon. This year, it’s been their lack of rush defense that has hurt them. The Chiefs have 2 good options in the backfield, so start them both. The Colts dominate most matchups in this game. The only Indy concern is at receiver as Garcon, who is coming off a hamstring injury and is not 100% yet but will see the field. ESPN’s John Clayton is reporting Friday Austin Collie may not be a green light as he did not practice again. Make sure to check Sunday morning for injury reports. After last week’s heartbreaking loss, the Colts regain dominance after a 38-16 win.

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (2-1) @ CINCINNATI BENGALS (2-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: CIN (-6.5)

Definitely Start: RB Cedric Benson, WR Chad Ochocinco, WR Terrell Owens, TE Kellen Winslow

Maybe Start: QB Josh Freeman, RB Cadillac Williams, QB Carson Palmer

Don’t Start: WR Mike Williams, WR Jordan Shipley (OUT)

Prediction: Carson Palmer has been great, then bad. I need some consistency, whether positive negative, before I recommend to start him. Cedric Benson has a great matchup this week. He should get plenty of carries. The T-Ocho combination makes it hard to determine who to start and who to sit, so play either/or. If your team has any Buccaneers, you have my condolences.  I recommend playing Winslow and that’s it. Cincinnati lost to the Browns in week 4, so what are the odds they lose to cellar-dwellers 2 weeks in a row? Bengals 21, Bucs 7.

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GREEN BAY PACKERS (3-1) @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: GB (-2.5)

Definitely Start: RB Ryan Torain, WR Santana Moss, QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Greg Jennings, WE Donald Driver, TE Jermichael Finley

Maybe Start: QB Donovan McNabb, TE Chris Cooley, RB Brandon Jackson, WR James Jones

Don’t Start: RB Clinton Portis (OUT), RB John Kuhn, WR Joey Galloway

Prediction: Despite the fact they won last week against Detroit, the Packers nearly blew a 3 score lead to the Lions in the second half by playing uninspired football. Perhaps this was a wakeup call for the Pack who faces a good matchup against the Redskins. Green Bay continues to split between Jackson and Kuhn in the backfield, so hesitate to start either unless you’re handcuffed. Torain seems to be the guy in Washington who has said multiple times they want to run the ball more. Add him via waivers, even if you hold a high priority. As far as the score, the Redskins will upset this week with a 27-24 come from behind victory.

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ST. LOUIS RAMS (2-2) @ DETROIT LIONS (0-4) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: DET (-3)

Definitely Start: QB Shaun Hill, RB Jahvid Best, WR Calvin Johnson, QB Sam Bradford, RB Steven Jackson, WR Mark Clayton

Maybe Start: TE Brandon Pettigrew, WR Danny Amendola

Don’t Start: TE Daniel Fells, TE Tony Scheffler

Prediction: Whenever you have 2 bad teams playing head to head, the doors open wide for fantasy players. This week, both Hill and Bradford are considered great options at quarterback. Both running backs should find success, even with Jackson still playing with an injured groin. Consider starting both number one receivers. Detroit still splits opportunities with their tight ends. In fact their numbers are almost identical. Detroit is better than 0-4, and they will prove it when they win their first game by a 17-13 margin.

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CHICAGO BEARS (3-1) @ CAROLINA PANTHERS (0-4) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: CAR (-1.5)

Definitely Start: RB Matt Forte, RB DeAngelo Williams

Maybe Start: WR Devin Hester, WR Johnny Knox

Don’t Start: QB Jay Cutler (OUT), WR Steve Smith (OUT)

Prediction: What an epic matchup – Jimmy Clausen vs. Todd Collins. What a battle of juggernaut quarterbacks. My rule of thumb is when these games of backup QBs occur, play the running backs and tight ends. This game is unpredictable as far as targets for receivers are concerned, so a bye week or injury should be the only reason to insert Hester or Knox. Carolina will have the more consistent rushing attack, which will earn them a 20-13 win.

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ATLANTA FALCONS (3-1) @ CLEVELAND BROWNS (1-3) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: CIN (-3)

Definitely Start: QB Matt Ryan, RB Michael Turner, WR Roddy White, TE Tony Gonzalez, RB Peyton Hillis

Maybe Start: WR Mohamed Massaquoi

Don’t Start: QB Jake Delhomme, RB Jerome Harrison

Prediction: There’s really not much to say about an Atlanta-Cleveland matchup that can’t already be assumed. The Falcons have really done well offensively this year, minus last week’s first half against the Niners. Don’t hesitate to start any Falcon rusher or receiver except second stringers. The Browns don’t feature many fantasy studs, which means Hillis should get plenty of carries. Delhomme will return this week with a high ankle sprain but will more than likely be ineffective. Atlanta 33, Cleveland 10.

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DENVER BRONCOS (2-2) @ BALTIMORE RAVENS (3-1) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: BAL (-7)

Definitely Start: RB Ray Rice, WR Anquan Boldin, WR Derrick Mason, QB Kyle Orton, WR Brandon Lloyd

Maybe Start: RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Eddie Royal

Don’t Start: RB Knowsean Moreno (OUT), WR Jabar Gaffney, TE Daniel Graham

Prediction: Even though the Ravens have been prone to the run as of late, Moreno is a no-go for Denver for yet another week. The already one-dimensional Broncos will be forced to air it out. Orton is on a record setting pace. The only fantasy question is who is his true number one receiver? Play Lloyd and Royal as Ed Reed is still on the PUP list. Rice needs to get it together this week and he should against a vulnerable Denver defense. I like the Broncos to upset with their big play ability. Give me Denver 27, Baltimore 20.

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NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (3-1) @ ARIZONA CARDINALS (2-2) – 3:05pm, FOX

Favorite: NO (-6.5)

Definitely Start: QB Drew Brees, WR Marques Colston, WR Lance Moore, WR Larry Fitsgerald

Maybe Start: WR Devery Henderson, WR Robert Meachem, TE Jeremy Shockey, RB Beanie Wells

Don’t Start: WR Steve Breaston (OUT), RB Tim Hightower, RB Pierre Thomas (OUT)

Prediction: The quarterback carousel in Arizona has been spun again as Max Hall will start in place of Derek Anderson. Oh boy. Arizona running backs should do well with the inevitable lack of passing offense. Fitzgerald should be targeted early and often. Play all your Saints – they’re facing a bad Arizona team and will have good field position for plenty of touchdowns. Saints cut the Cards 30-12.

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TENNESSEE TITANS (2-2) @ DALLAS COWBOYS (1-2) – 3:15pm, CBS

Favorite: DAL (-7)

Definitely Start: RB Chris Johnson, WR Nate Washington, QB Tony Romo, WR Miles Austin, WR Roy Williams

Maybe Start: WR Kenny Britt, TE Jason Witten, WR Dez Bryant, RB Marion Barber

Don’t Start: QB Vince Young, RB Felix Jones

Prediction: It seems like the Cowboys are facing a must win again this week. Dallas has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game and you can be assured they will come out with guns a’blazin. Tennessee has been poor about getting their best player the ball with chances to break big plays. Young should look for plenty of screens on this over aggressive defense. In the end, I think this game will be a lot closer than the 20-14 Cowboys win may appear to be.

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SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-2) @ OAKLAND RAIDERS (1-3) – 3:15pm, CBS

Favorite: SD (-6)

Definitely Start: QB Philip Rivers, RB Mike Tolbert, TE Antonio Gates, RB Michael Bush, TE Zach Miller

Maybe Start: RB Ryan Mathews, WR Louis Murphy, QB Bruce Gradkowski

Don’t Start: WR Malcom Floyd, RB Darren McFadden (OUT)

Prediction: The Chargers have dedicated a lot of the last few weeks to passing. With Nnamdi Asomugha opposing the Chargers number one receiver, the Bolts should throw to Gates with incredibly consistency. I predict they’ll try to re-establish the run as well so consider their backs. Speaking of backs, McFadden’s absence makes a huge opportunity for Michael Bush. If he’s on waivers, go out and get him if you need a spot start with bye week troubles. Upset alert: Oakland pulls this game off with special teams plays. Bold prediction, but instinct says Oakland 24-23.

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2-2) @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (0-4) – 7:20PM, NBC

Favorite: SF (-3)

Definitely Start: RB LeSean McCoy, WR DeSean Jackson, WR Jeremy Maclin, WR Michael Crabtree, RB Frank Gore

Maybe Start: TE Brent Celek, TE Vernon Davis

Don’t Start: QB Kevin Kolb, QB Alex Smith

Prediction: Is San Fran really facing an 0-5 start? Never thought they would be winless come mid October. This Sunday night matchup makes me scratch my head about who should really shine. I love Frank Gore this week, who is showing with a bad QB that he can be a receiving option. Both quarterbacks and tight ends should be played with a grain of salt. The Eagles have big play receivers and San Francisco can be thrown on, so play both of their starters. As far as the result, Philly fans will be calling for Vick to take back the starting job after Kolb drops the ball. 49ers get their first win, 20-10.

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS (1-2) @ NEW YORK JETS (3-1) – 7:30pm (Monday), ESPN

Favorite: NYJ (-4)

Definitely Start: RB Adrian Peterson, WR Randy Moss, TE Visanthe Shiancoe, RB Ladainian Tomlinson, WR Santonio Holmes, TE Dustin Keller

Maybe Start: QB Brett Favre, QB Mark Sanchez, WR Braylon Edwards

Don’t Start: WR Jerricho Cotchery, RB Shonn Greene

Prediction: The Randy Moss trade certainly adds a headline to this MNF matchup in New York. Favre will try and force the ball to him as often as possible, so Moss should make good for his owners. Favre? We’ll see how he holds up before I recommend him. Peterson and Tomlinson should get touches on the ground. The return of Holmes helps Sanchez and could break a big play or two. I like Minnesota to upset and play like it was 2009 once again. They win with false hope but it’s a win, 26-17.


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