Week 4 Fantasy Preview

Posted: September 30, 2010 in Uncategorized

Chris Johnson is the top RB to play this week. He will do serious damage to an injured Broncos defense.

LAST WEEK’S PREDICTIONS: 10-6

2010 SEASON PREDICTIONS: 10-6

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Which Games Will Be On in My Area? Who Will Call Them?

Click here for Week 4 Distribution Map: http://the506.com/sports/?cat=14

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Sunday, October 3, 2010

NEW YORK JETS (2-1) @ BUFFALO BILLS (0-3) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: NYJ (-5.5)

Forecast: 52 degrees, partly cloudy

Definitely Start: QB Mark Sanchez, RB LaDainian Tomlinson, TE Dustin Keller, Jets D/ST

Maybe Start: WR Braylon Edwards

Don’t Start: WR Lee Evans, RB Marshawn Lynch

Prediction: Normally I’m not this high on Sanchez, but the Bills have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. He along with most Jets playmakers should have a reliable week against a poor Bills defense. Braylon Edwards may not get as many targets as he did against Miami on Sunday, but in a 3 WR system Edwards will do just fine. Jets bomb Buffalo 24-12.

DENVER BRONCOS (1-2) @ TENNESSEE TITANS (2-1) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: TEN (-6.5)

Forecast: 64 degrees, partly cloudy

Definitely Start: QB Kyle Orton, RB Chris Johnson

Maybe Start: QB Vince Young, RB Laurence Maroney

Don’t Start: RB Knowsean Moreno, WR Eddie Royal, WR Jabar Gaffney

Prediction: No Knowsean? No problem. The Broncos with Orton’s strong passing attack will be content trying to air out a victory. It’s still hard to see who Orton likes throwing to based off of preference, as his receivers have pretty even receptions. Don’t play Bronco receivers. The Titans will contend as much as Chris Johnson will allow them to. Tennessee wins, 17-14.

DETROIT LIONS (0-3) @ GREEN BAY PACKERS (2-1) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: GB (-14.5)

Forecast: 53 degrees, sunny

Definitely Start: QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Donald Driver, WR Greg Jennings, TE Jermichael Finley, Packers D/ST

Maybe Start: RB Jahvid Best, RB Brandon Jackson

Don’t Start: WR Calvin Johnson, RB John Kuhn

Prediction: The Packers should have this one in the bag, assuming they don’t commit nearly 20 penalties again. Play all your Packers except the running backs. Jackson and Kuhn are battling for carries, so not many fantasy points are to be had by one team. This game is all Green Bay, 35-9.

SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS (0-3) @ ATLANTA FALCONS (2-1) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: ATL (-7)

Forecast: N/A

Definitely Start: QB Matt Ryan, RB Michael Turner, WR Roddy White, TE Tony Gonzalez, RB Frank Gore

Maybe Start: WR Michael Crabtree, TE Vernon Davis

Don’t Start: QB Alex Smith, 49ers D/ST

Prediction: The 49ers “elite” defense looks to be just smoke and mirrors at this point. They’ve allowed 7 passing touchdowns this year, making Ryan a nice start. With the way Atlanta took care of business last week in the Super Dome, they might just be spreading their wings to glide to success. Play all Falcons skill players. Until San Francisco wins a game, I recommend avoiding Niners besides Gore. The fire sale in San Fran begins as Atlanta wins 27-14.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (2-1) @ ST. LOUIS RAMS (1-2) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: SEA (-1)

Forecast: N/A

Definitely Start: WR Mark Clayton, RB Justin Forsett, Seahawks D/ST

Maybe Start: QB Matt Hasselbeck, QB Sam Bradford, TE John Carlson

Don’t Start: RB Steven Jackson

Prediction: Interesting matchup this weekend in the Edward Jones Dome. The Rams have been somewhat entertaining to watch; while the new look Seahawks continue to make their initial impression on the weak NFC West. Steven Jackson may be out for the Rams so check injury reports Sunday morning. Both quarterbacks will do just alright, so if you’re affected by a bye week, consider either from the waiver wire. Seattle will prove they’re the team to beat in the West, 20-13.

CAROLINA PANTHERS (0-3) @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (2-1) – 12:00pm, FOX

Favorite: NO (-13.5)

Forecast: N/A

Definitely Start: RB DeAngelo Williams, QB Drew Brees, WR Marques Colston, Saints D/ST

Maybe Start: WR Steve Smith, WR Lance Moore, RB Pierre Thomas

Don’t Start: WR Robert Meachem

Prediction: My patience is running short for DeAngelo Williams to have a break out performance this season. Usually a top 10 back, Williams has been held in check n 2010 thus far. This will be the last week I endorse him as a “Definitely Start,” pending success. All Saints playmakers should be good bets against Carolina. The champs should rebound against Clausen’s Panthers. Saints 33, Panthers 16.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (2-1) @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS (3-0) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: PIT (-1.5)

Forecast: 53 degrees, scattered showers

Definitely Start: RB Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers D/ST, Ravens D/ST

Maybe Start: RB Ray Rice, TE Todd Heap, WR Hines Ward, WR Anquan Boldin

Don’t Start: QB Joe Flacco, TE Heath Miller

Prediction: This will be such a defensive struggle, most fantasy players should see bench time this week. Steelers-Ravens games as of late do not generate many points for fantasy players, or the scoreboard in general. Rashard Mendenhall is my only sure bet for whom to play this week, and even he will be just alright. Avoid fantasy players from this matchup. In a high scoring affair, Ravens hand Pittsburgh their first loss 10-7.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (2-1) @ CLEVELAND BROWNS (0-3) – 12:00pm, CBS

Favorite: CIN (-3)

Forecast: 53 degrees, showers

Definitely Start: RB Cedric Benson, WR Chad Ochocinco, Bengals D/ST

Maybe Start: QB Carson Palmer, WR Terrell Owens, RB Peyton Hillis

Don’t Start: RB Jerome Harrison

Prediction: The other AFC North interdivisional game of week 4 will be just as high scoring as the Steelers-Ravens matchup, but for all the wrong reasons. An underachieving Bengals squad takes on a poor scoring Browns team. Oh goody. Start your Bengals; if you have any Browns, which you shouldn’t, bench them. Peyton Hillis could be the next back in Cleveland but he’s yet to be proven. Instinct tells me this is the upset special of the week. Browns get it done for the first time in 2010, winning 17-10.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (2-1) @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (1-2) – 3:05pm, CBS

Favorite: IND (-7)

Forecast: 80 degrees, scattered showers

Definitely Start: QB Peyton Manning, WR Reggie Wayne, WR Austin Collie, TE Dallas Clark, RB Maurice Jones-Drew

Maybe Start: Colts D/ST, WR Mike Sims-Walker

Don’t Start: QB David Garrard, TE Marcedes Lewis, WR Pierre Garcon

Prediction: Colts-Jaguars games are always close and hard fought by both parties. The Jaguars are stuck in neutral while the Colts, after their week 1 disappointing loss, are banging on all cylinders. Any Colts, except Garcon (injury) and running backs, should find themselves in your roster Sunday. The only must play for the Jaguars is MJD, who still has not found the end zone in 2010. Colts will be victorious by a 27-17 score.

HOUSTON TEXANS (2-1) @ OAKLAND RAIDERS (1-2) – 3:05pm, CBS

Favorite: HOU (-3)

Forecast: 69 degrees, partly cloudy

Definitely Start: QB Matt Schaub, RB Arian Foster, RB Darren McFadden, TE Zach Miller

Maybe Start: QB Bruce Gradkowski

Don’t Start: TE Owen Daniels, WR Andre Johnson

Prediction: Johnson will be a game time decision for the Texans, so make sure to check before Sunday’s action gets underway if he’s a go. The Raiders defense allows a lot of rushing yards, so Houston should elect to run the ball with a heavy dose this weekend. The Texans should flex back from their loss to Dallas with this 28-15 win in Oakland.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (1-2) @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2-1) – 3:15pm, FOX

Favorite: PHI (-5.5)

Forecast: 64, partly cloudy

Definitely Start: QB Michael Vick, WR Jeremy Maclin, WR DeSean Jackson, RB LeSean McCoy, WR Santana Moss

Maybe Start: QB Donovan McNabb, Eagles D/ST

Don’t Start: RB Clinton Portis, TE Brent Celek

Prediction: The obvious headlines will be between the two quarterbacks – Vick and McNabb. Vick has been phenomenal, while McNabb’s Redskins have lacked a ground attack. Since Portis is now in hot water, the main running back is unknown. Not a lot of great fantasy matchups from the Washington stand-point, but the Eagles should perform well. I’m picking Vick to upset McNabb’s homecoming, 24-20.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (2-1) @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (1-2) – 3:15pm, FOX

Favorite: SD (-8.5)

Forecast: 71 degrees, sunny

Definitely Start: QB Philip Rivers, WR Malcom Floyd, TE Antonio Gates, WR Larry Fitzgerald

Maybe Start: RB Ryan Mathews, RB Beanie Wells, Chargers D/ST

Don’t Start: RB Tim Hightower, WR Steve Breaston

Prediction: Injuries and suspensions continue to hinder the Chargers offensive potential. Mathews is coming off an injury, and it is unknown if San Diego will limit his touches to prevent him from reinjuring himself.  The Cardinals will be without Breaston due to a knee injury and Early Doucet, so Larry will get lots of targets. San Diego needs this win with the Chiefs 3-0 in the West. They earn it, 23-13.

CHICAGO BEARS (3-0) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (1-2) – 7:20PM, NBC

Favorite: NYG (-4)

Forecast: 50 degrees, partly cloudy

Definitely Start: QB Jay Cutler, RB Matt Forte, TE Greg Olsen, RB Ahmad Bradshaw, WR Hakeem Nicks

Maybe Start: QB Eli Manning, WR Steve Smith, WR Johnny Knox

Don’t Start: RB Brandon Jacobs

Prediction: The Bears earned a huge divisional win Monday against Green Bay. The Giants looked dismal offensively against Carolina. Trends would point in the direction of the Bears winning on the road. Now that Tiki Barber has publically called out Giants coach Tom Coughlin saying he’s on the hot seat, Ney Work is in jeopardy of falling out of the NFC East race. This might be the game where the Giants realize the wheels are falling off. If the Bears contain Bradshaw, they pull off a 20-14 upset.

Monday, October 4, 2010

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (2-1) @ MIAMI DOLPHINS (2-1) – 7:30pm, ESPN

Favorite: NE (-1)

Forecast: 78 degrees, scattered showers

Definitely Start: QB Tom Brady, WR Randy Moss, TE Aaron Hernandez, QB Chad Henne, WR Brandon Marshall, RB Ronnie Brown

Maybe Start: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, WR Wes Welker

Don’t Start: RB Ricky Williams, Dolphins D/ST

Prediction: If the Bills can get into a shootout with the Pats, why can’t the Dolphins? Henne to Marshall will be a common trend in this game. The 1 point spread indicates this on paper looks like a great game. The young, inexperienced Pats defense will face an adaptive Dolphins offense that is not only fast but versatile. If it starts raining, the Miami ground attack will prevail. The Fins make a Monday night statement, winning 27-21.

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